Basic Income can grow the economy and create jobs: Canadian Centre for Economic Analysis report

How Would Basic Income Help Canada?

1

Basic Income can grow the economy and create jobs.

Basic Income could grow Canada’s economy $80 billion a year— more than Canada’s tourism and hospitality industries combined — and create nearly 600,000 jobs in 5 years.

  • Basic Income could grow our economy $80 billion/year.
  • It could concurrently generate $400 billion in additional GDP within 5 years — or up to $2 trillion in 25 years.
  • Basic Income could add nearly 600,000 full-time equivalent within 5 years — or over 900,000 jobs in 25 years.
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2

Basic Income can be good for business.

Putting money in Canadians’ hands lets them spend it in their local economies, which could cause private capital investments to increase up to $15 billion a year— more than all Canadian venture capital investments a year.

  • Basic Income could add $32 billion/year on average in gross operating surplus (GOS) to Canada's businesses within 5 years — as much as the annual profits of our 3 biggest banks combined.
  • GOS could grow up to $745 billion in 25 years.
  • Basic Income could increase private capital investments (PCI) $15 billion/year on average within 5 years.
  • PCI could grow up to $336 billion in 25 years.
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3

Basic Income can grow the economy and create jobs.

Basic Income could grow the economy more than it costs in the long term, making this a sustainable investment over time. It could generate $22 billion a year in new government revenues from new economic activity— as much as all EI Premiums paid by employees and employers.

  • Basic Income could grow aggregate wages 2.6% in year 5 — or $32 billion a year on average over 5 years. Aggregate wages could grow up to $621 billion in 25 years.
  • 1.7M families earning between $10-19K from work could see their total income double (+114%).
  • 3.3M families earning between $20-29K from work could see their total income increase +34% on average.
  • Canadians earning up to $109,000/year could see their disposable income either increase — or decrease no more than 1.1%
  • Basic Income could increase disposable income $122 billion in 1 year for the bottom 60% of Canadians by income.
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4

Basic Income can grow the economy and create jobs.

Basic Income could grow Canada’s economy $80 billion a year— more than Canada’s tourism and hospitality industries combined — and create nearly 600,000 jobs in 5 years.

  • The cost of Basic Income as a percentage of GDP could shrink over time, despite covering more Canadians, since economic growth from the program will increase faster than cost.
  • Basic Income could generate $22 billion a year in new government revenues.
  • It could add $109 billion in additional government revenues within 5 years — or up to $514 billion in 25 years.
  • Basic income can be funded with minimal tax increases, by using debt that can be paid down with new tax revenues — while growing the economy and raising incomes of most Canadians.
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5

All while ending poverty and growing the middle class.

Basic Income could grow the economy sustainably while lifting 3.2 million families out of poverty and giving a raise to most Canadians.

  • 3.2M families lifted out of poverty — ending poverty.
  • 129,000 single-parent families lifted out of poverty — 85% of which are female-led.
  • 2.3M families in the lowest income bracket ($0-9K) could see their income at least triple.
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Quotes

This is by far the most comprehensive report I have seen on this issue. Covid-19 has exposed the fragility of our society.

UBI at the minimum should be explored as a potential solution and this report provides the foundation for an informed debate.

Benjamin Tal,
Deputy Chief Economist of CIBC

Inequality makes our economy less resilient, which
is why a robust and complete recovery must leave no one behind

Senator Kim Pate

This landmark report substantially advances the
discussion on a Universal Basic Income in Canada, and puts it front and centre in the policy agenda for Canada's spring budget and the broader process of rebuilding from the pandemic.

UBI at the minimum should be explored as a potential solution and this report provides the foundation for an informed debate.

Brett House,
VP & Deputy Chief
Economist of Scotiabank

Too much of the discussion surrounding Basic Income focuses on cost alone.

This analysis by CANCEA demonstrates that the economic return can be actually much grater than the cost..

That is why CANCEA's study of potential economic impacts means so much and is of such love.

Hugh Segal
Former Conservative Senator

Now Canadians can show that Basic Income will grow the economy.

They have the data to prove it.

Andrew Yang
Former US Presidential Candidate

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